Sensex in the near-term.

Sensex in the near-term.
following things to be remembered:
1. subprime crisis loss is around $4 billion. so FIIs will take out there money from equity.
2. US slow down
3. Indian economy is also cooling down. industrial production is already down. earnings growth will come down.
4. sentiment is week. Indian growth story already lived 4-5 years which is difficult sustain.

already sensex valuation is 22 times. if these factors affect the market, there will be a fall. the valuation should be brought to 16-18 times. then the sensex will be around 13150 - 15000. this will be bottom level. maximum level will be 19000-20000.
except last year maximum P/E had been 20. in January 2008 it went up 28.
any events other than above will certainly change the trend.
Rakesh jhunjunwala says: The India story is irreversible. Whatever the risks, they can at most cause delays. I think nothing can change India's growth prospects. If the market has managed to rise from 3000 to 14500, what is wrong if it remains in the range of 12000 to 15000 for a year?
http://vbulls.com/forum/forum.asp

>subprime crisis loss is around $4 billion.

No, it is estimated to be $ 2 to 6 Trillion.

Sensex and real estate will correct 30% or more in my opinion.

so, you mean if some one wants to be an investor in stocks then should wait for that correction ?

so, you mean if some one wants to be an investor in stocks then should wait for that correction ?
not like that. in correction also you can buy. always buy in stages

Selva, you are right, be patient and buy in parts. That is the best way of investment.

best interaction

Sensex is the representative index of India's oldest stock exchange that is Bombay Stock Exchange. It comprises of stocks of companies which are among the top players of their representative index.