Will the Election of 2014 Be Fought on Federal or Presidential Style ?

Will the election of 2014 be fought on Federal or Presidential style ,where it will be between the two, suppose to be the most eligible persons of the two main parties for the post? But here the condition are far different from what the view media is proposing and guessing.


First there are several parties, at least more than twenty, a mammoth number for such type of choice election. Second neither the two main parties (or groups namely UPA and NDA) have declared their prime ministerial candidate for the post nor the other regional parties had made up their mind, as regards whether they will align with any of the main block or have a definite strategy to create a new third group by including all the other parties, and at best they will wait to announce their choice of group till the election results are out. In such a scenario nobody can imagine how any presidential form of election can be effective ?


The game theme is propagated more by the BJP led NDA, because theoretically they have much better position as per the sample opinion poll survey conducted by different media groups till date, plus they are the largest opposition party to reap the anti incumbency benefits.


And lastly the main ruling party Congress has thrown the towel before the start of actual fight, by hiding their choice candidate for the post, still gauging the mood of the people's verdict, and protecting their suppose to be the candidate Rahul Gandhi from the heat generated against the party by the dismal to worst performance by the UPA 2, which was led by Manmohan Singh,but guided and controlled by Congress chief Sonia Gandhi.


In the Congress camp the understanding may be such that Rahul and Sonia Gandhi's popularity will be used for winning the next election, but in case of a possible wash out, Rahul will not have to share the blame of defeat , thus it will be win of Rahul Gandhi, but loss of Prime Minister Manmohan Singh.


More over they have undertaken the task of using some popular game changer scheme like Food Security Bill, which will be proposed and taken by Sonia Gandhi specially in the Parliament to gain more popularity, as the only Mashiha of poor people, while the financial and economic breakdown, rising inflation, corruption and scams, non passing of popular Jan Lokpal Bill and tryst with China or Pakistan at border will be the subjects for which the prime minister has to be blamed.


The signs are not good, because a large part of Urban population, youth and a bigger section of non urban population, have become much knowledgeable and smart, and the caste or religion based bias in rurals, have given way for growth-development and good governance.


This gradual but solid change of mindset among the voters particularly youth, will be converted in some percentage change of votes away from UPA and that may be captured by the main opposition. Only these minor percentage of votes will be crucial target of accumulation through the positive hype and wave created by the iconic Narendra Modi, and this will be the crucial guiding factor of results in the next election, irrespective of all other things remaining same.


And here the Congress think tank has failed completely, by showing arrogance to their legitimate and rational criticism either for failures in economic and foreign relation front or in denial of corruption charges till the last moment till the case nailed down them beyond doubt, has given special notoriety to most of the spokespersons of Congress in the public eyes.


In the worst game plan of this ill advised, adamant leadership, in retaliation to the criticism chose to fire all cylinders beyond a level directly on Narendra Modi, giving him much needed special push to the centre stage, again doing blunder in targeting him plainly on the communal line, which is no more people's subject; it has rather switched greatly to the more persistent need of employment, development and corruption free good governance platform along with safety, security and dignity of the people.


Possibly lot of political Pundits failed to gauge the mood of people, glimpse of which was available at the Lokpal bill and Nirbhaya rape agitation at Delhi in recent times. Time will tell, whether the prediction has some indicative guidelines, measuring the mood of people, as so called the common man or still it will take another turn by the time election are held .
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